A multifactor mechanism of the financial markets, that seems to be very complicated externally, is also subjected to the elementary laws of statistics. Each trading account is a part of a huge money flow and to understand the overall movement, a trader is obliged to use any average value correctly.
The ADR indicator (Average Daily Range) calculates the most important value − the average daily price range for the selected financial asset.
Apparently, this indicator was developed by the intraday trading enthusiasts: you are offered an automatic «calculator» for analyzing the average volatility for a period, which allows to solve the main problems of the short-term trading − determining the optimal entry/exit points.
So let’s begin.
Correct analysis of volatility is an extremely important element of any trading strategy. Insufficient attention to the market activity leads to an incorrect installation of the Take Profit/Stop Loss orders, that is − either to losses or losing a potential profit.
The Average Daily Range is represented by «reasonable», statistically justified price boundaries, in which the market movement is highly expected − this allows choosing the right trade tactics in a zone of the strong price levels (Average Daily Range).
In fact, the ADR indicator shows changes in the price values per unit of time (for example, for medium-term and intraday methods, the D1 timeframe is usually used) and solves the following tasks:
Let’s see exactly how it works.
The average price range is a value that the price has passed from min to max within one trading day. The result of calculation is displayed in the trading terminal window in a separate information board.
Reminder: this range is not equal to the distance between the opening and closing prices of the trading day!
ADR is calculated as the Average Daily Range (the difference between high price and low price values of a day bar) for the selected period (see Average Daily Range). For example, if you want to determine the value for a week, then calculate the sum of the data for each day of the week, and divide by the number of trading days:
The result is obtained in price points. The same calculation mechanism is applied to any other period.
In addition to the two main ADR lines, after the calculation on the price chart (depending on the parameters − read below), several additional price levels are displayed. They are also calculated on the ADR principle.
The subsidiary WeekHi level is the sum of ADR for the week and the last Friday's closing price; similarly, the WeekLo level is calculated as the difference between ADR for the week and the last Friday's closing price.
If the sum of ADR for the week and ADR for the month is divided by 4, and then the last Friday's closing price is added, then we get the WeekMidHi level. If we minus this value, we get the WeekMidLo level.
The remaining levels are constructed additionally at the distances equal to the difference between (WeekHi − WeekMidHi) and (WeekLo − WeekMidLo).
The following levels are calculated with the same interval. There is no special fundamental logic in these calculations, but they have been approved by many years of practice, and this is a serious argument.
In most popular trading platforms, the ADR indicator is not included in the standard package, but its various versions can be freely found online.
Let’s consider the most popular and «visually» correct variant.
So, the basic parameters of the ADR indicator:
Actually, these settings do not influence the calculation mechanism. Settings for the visual display («Yes»/»No») are entered manually.
If it seems to you that the indicator’s levels «encumber» the price chart visually, then it is possible to disable the display of the lines, and keep only the information window (check Using Graphic Tools).
In the information block, the results of calculation can be found (in price points):
How to apply all this in the real trading − let’s look at it in detail.
In practice, the ADR indicator doesn't generate obvious signals for the entrance to the market; use of this tool comes down to restriction of the Take Profit size or to the Stop Loss adjustment (check here Using Indicators).
All trade ideas are based on the ordinary logic of behavior in a zone of strong price levels: it is considered irrational to sell if the price is near the min range (capacity of the price movement is strongly limited). The similar rule works for the max value of the day range – probability of the further growth is too small.
Reminder: The ADR range borders do not necessarily coincide with the Pivot levels! Breakdown on a trend (as a rule, with the subsequent rollback) and a reversal in the ADR area are equally possible events, from the point of statistics.
Practice shows that for the main currency assets, the H1-H4 period will be the most adequate. The ADR values can be used for more exact determination of the target levels in any strategy with a period of retention of the open trades that lasts from one day to one week.
For the correct work on the ADR levels, a not speculative, rather predicted market is necessary. All such strategies use the effect of averaging and therefore they should be checked previously on the historical data.
There is no special and «super profitable» trade strategy for the ADR indicator – after all, it is an auxiliary technical tool (A Unique Way to Use ADR to Your Advantage).
Of course, it is easy to give an advice, but from the point of view of the fundamental analysis, the Average Daily Range boundaries aren't the accurate support/resistance levels. As a result, it isn't recommended to trade in a reliance on the firm breakdown of these lines.
However, the use of ADR allows to calculate the size of a potential Take Profit/Stop Loss benefit, taking into account historical and current volatility of the asset. As an example, we will give a technique that is especially popular among scalpers:
Breakdown of the morning flat
Because of the fact that American and European exchanges are closed during the Asian («night») Forex session, market volumes are weak, and an active movement on the main currency pairs begins with the opening of trading floors in Europe.
It is the time when the volatility begins to increase. It defines the direction of movement, at least, till the middle of the European session or till the moment when the statistic on EUR, GBP, CHF appears.
Pending orders on the ADR range boundaries allow to take 10-12 (and even more) points of a profit.
However, modern analysts recommend «to catch» such a moment when the trading in the Chinese market is already closing, especially during the periods of expiration of the futures contracts or large options on the Asian stock exchanges.
In that case, the ADR indicator can be used as an additional filter while setting out the Asian session range, as well as for definition of the profit purposes, for example:
What this means is:
We place Take Profit several points above/below the ADR levels because it is a daily average range and the deviations in both sides are probable enough.
If the first pending order has fulfilled the minimum profit and the short-term consolidation begins, then it is possible to put the Limit-order to the opposite side («on the rollback») with the purposes in a zone of the second boundary of the ADR channel.
If any of the established pending orders hasn't been opened within a trading day, then they need to be cancelled. The next day, it is recommended to put new positions taking into account parameters of closing of a day candle.
Reminder: we don't put pending orders for the breakdown and we don't enter the market at all if the current price is too close to the calculated borders of the ADR channel! We don't buy near the top boundary and we don't sell near the bottom boundary of the range.
It is necessary to control the moments of the strong news and to correct your trading purposes taking into account the current trend (check How to Determine Average Daily Range Day Trading Futures).
There are situations when the average daily range of 1-2 previous days strongly differs (lags behind or exceeds) a calculated value for the current period. In that case, you can hope that the market «will catch up» with an «ordinary» ADR value during several trading sessions.
Thanks to the simple mathematics, the ADR indicator shows the most probable ranges and price reference points which is especially important for the medium-term strategies. It can be used on any timeframe and any trade asset – it will be equally useful.
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