We have tested a line of the well-known indicators and now it is time to try the Parabolic SAR indicator.
As it is better to use the combination of the indicators for signals confirmation, we compliment the Parabolic SAR with the Moving Averages.
And let’s see how they have worked together.
Parabolic SAR shows the potential reversals, SAR itself stands for “Stop and Reverse” and it basically explains the whole meaning of the indicator:
The dots above the candles provide the signal about the downtrend or the SELL signal, while the dots under the candles indicate the uptrend or the BUY signals.
Therefore, the change of the dots position indicates the potential reversal may happen.
One more important thing about the Parabolic SAR: except showing the potential reversals, it works excellent as marks for the trailing stop.
That is another reason why traders single out this indicator into the top of the favorite ones.
As well as indicators depicted before, the Parabolic SAR is also the trend-following indicator, so we cannot wait to learn how it is going perform through the different markets.
Why Parabolic SAR is accompanied by the Moving averages for this strategy?
Moving Averages are there to determine the entry point the moment they cross.
We hope that combination of these two indicators will give us accurate trend reversal set ups.
Timeframe: any (but we use 1h while backtesting).
Currency pair: any.
Stop Loss/Take Profit: check for the closest support/resistance levels and place ST over/below them (about 30-50 pips away).
Exit the trade when the MA cross again or the dot of the Parabolic SAR will provide the reverse signal. Or you can place the Take Profit over/under the closest Support and Resistance level (what we are going to do while backtesting this strategy).
Long trade entry rules:
Please, not, that first two conditions can occur not necessary at the same time, but to enter the trade we should wait for the both of them to happen.
Short trade entry rules:
|Market||Training set||Forward testing|
|Bull||147,2 pips||-58,94 pips|
|Bear||46,68 pips||-22,66 pips|
|Flat||168,6 pips||22,66 pips|
|Market||Training set||Forward testing|
|Bull||01/03/2011-08/04/2011||09/06/2010 – 29/06/2010|
|Flat||01/09/2016 – 12/10/2016||04/05/2015 – 19/05/2015|
*How long it took us to enter the 50 trades for the Training Set and 20 trades for the Forward Testing.
A Reminder: in order to save your valuable time and efforts, we have introduced the system of backtesting when you perform only 50 trades through 3 different types of market (Bullish, Bearish and Flat markets) and then again 20 trades through the given types of market, but during other periods. Then with simple math calculations, we can make conclusions about effectiveness or irrelevance of the chosen strategy.
The full version of the theory of our backtesting experiments and how did we came up with the idea of such backtesting you can read here.
Probably, something is wrong with the chosen settings or the risk management: while showing the optimistic results during the Training Set, the forward testing showed the negative results unfortunately.
While backtesting during the Training Set (Flat market) we were surprised with the results: could it be possible to find the best strategy to trade while market is consolidating?
Surprisingly, this strategy showed positive results only during the Flat markets.
One more thing about this strategy during the Flat markets worth mentioning:
It was hard to find the entry points with these indicators – once one of them show it is time to enter the trade, another one shows the reversal signs.
But, again - no surprise for trading during the flat markets.
However, we cannot ignore one positive moment:
Check the ratio between the trades and the period – during the most of the backtesting sessions, it took about the month or so to perform the needed quantity of the trades.
That should mean that the entry points of the trades were picked carefully and didn’t filter out the potential trades.
Parabolic SAR itself is an amazing indicator; and you should definitely try different combination of it with other indicators.
It doesn’t mean the strategy itself is not profitable, the aim of our experiment wasn’t to give the ready advices you should blindly believe in.
But to show that even the slight details of the any trading strategy should be carefully backtested before being used during the live trading.
There are dozens of the ways to trade the indicator alone or with the combinations with other ones.
We show only one way to trade, however, nothing should stop the curious minds to try different settings and check how it can influence the final results.
What particularly can be a matter of the additional change and backtesting?
Besides, you can try different ratio of the TP and SL, or close the trades manually when the Parabolic SAR’s dots show the signal of the reversal.
Try what combo can work the best for you.
As you can see, adjust, test and then change accordingly – is the only possible way to find the options suitable for YOU.
As you can see, backtesting is quite simple activity in case if you have the right backtesting tools.
The testing of this strategy was arranged in Forex Tester 3 with the historical data that comes along with the program.
To check this (or any other) strategy’s performance you can download Forex Tester 3 for free. In addition, you will receive 16 years of free historical data (easily downloadable straight from the software).
What do you think about the strategy as whole and Parabolic SAR as an indicator particularly?
Have you tried to trade with this indicator? What are other combinations to try it with?